Published: 2026-08-15 | footballmoney.top
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union — World Cup 2026-08-16
Model Predictions
Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York City FC | 44.5% |
| Draw | 25.0% |
| Philadelphia Union | 30.5% |
ELO: New York City FC 1401 → Philadelphia Union 1327
Best Available Odds
| New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
Most Likely Scorelines
- 1-1 (12.1%)
- 1-0 (11.2%)
- 0-1 (10.8%)
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Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.
